The conflict zones in the Middle East and Ukraine have expanded and grown more brutal by the day. Despite a ceasefire with Hezbollah, the escalation in Syria and the resurgence of ISIS, reportedly supported by Turkey, are deeply concerning.
Turkey has allegedly been supplying arms and ammunition to militants attempting to seize Syrian territories. If parts of Syria fall into their hands, the region risks becoming even more radicalized than Afghanistan.
In Ukraine, the reckless use of missiles and drones has reached alarming levels. The conflict is also spilling over into Georgia, damaging energy infrastructure on both sides. Years of development in this sector risk being undone, potentially setting both nations back by at least two decades.
South Korea, a stronghold of U.S. influence, faces challenges as the government imposes martial law after election losses. Such actions raise questions about the region’s political stability.
India stands to gain geopolitically in the long run from these conflicts. However, in the short term, increased defense spending could strain government resources. Inflation is expected to rise, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts, while capital markets and real estate may consolidate until at least March. A more optimistic economic outlook might emerge by April.
India is currently undergoing a significant geopolitical repositioning. Moving beyond the rhetoric of the Non-Aligned Movement, it is redefining its ties with Russia, prioritizing national interest, and strengthening strategic partnerships with countries like the United States. Simultaneously, India is uniting the Global South and advocating for a permanent seat at the UN Security Council.
As a new world order takes shape, China’s prominent role forces India to align strategically with the U.S. Donald Trump, if reelected, could bring renewed hope for U.S.-India collaboration, with shared goals in combating terrorism and fostering global security.
